Will Gachagua be cleared for any seat on the 2027 ballot?

This market resolves to "Yes" if IEBC's final list of cleared candidates for the 2027 General Election, after nomination disputes close on 23 June 2027, includes Rigathi Gachagua for any elective position (president, deputy president or any other seat). Otherwise, it resolves to "No". Source: IEBC and the Kenya Gazette.

The High Court upheld Rigathi Gachagua's impeachment on 8 June 2026, even while awarding him Sh50 million for violated rights. He has appealed, the Supreme Court has asked the Attorney-General for advice on whether impeached officials can run while appealing, and Gachagua insists he will be on the ballot. Two precedents hang over him: Mike Sonko and Ferdinand Waititu were both blocked after impeachment.