Will Russia and Ukraine formally sign a ceasefire agreement by 30 November 2026?

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Russia and Ukraine formally sign a ceasefire agreement by 30 November 2026, 11:59 PM EAT. The agreement must be a publicly available document or confirmed by official government statements from both Russia and Ukraine. A 'No' resolution will occur if no such agreement is signed by the specified date. Temporary pauses in fighting or agreements on prisoner exchanges do not qualify as a formal ceasefire agreement.