geopoliticsopen

Will Russia detonate a nuclear device in 2026?

Volume: KSh 85.8k Vol.
Reveals in: 4 months
Source: CNN, BBC and Aljazeera

Resolution

Market rules

The market will resolve yes Yif a nuclear detonation is confirmed (test or otherwise) by seismic data/international monitors. No, if such does not occur before 31 December 2026. This should be verifiable by multiple global media sources like CNN, BBC and Aljazeera

Source: CNN, BBC and Aljazeera

Verification: https://www.bbc.com/

Background

Context

Market outcomes

Live

Yes
50¢ per share · ≈ KSh 65 · KSh 42.9k Vol.
50%
Buy 50¢Sell 50¢
No
50¢ per share · ≈ KSh 65 · KSh 42.9k Vol.
50%
Buy 50¢Sell 50¢

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