Will ODM field its own presidential candidate in 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if IEBC's final list of cleared presidential candidates, after nomination disputes close (23 June 2027), includes a candidate nominated by the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM). A candidate from Linda Mwananchi or any other party does not count, even if they are or were an ODM member. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source is IEBC.

Raila Odinga's party has never sat out a presidential race. Its establishment wing under Oburu Oginga is negotiating with Ruto's UDA, while Sifuna's breakaway faction wants a separate candidate.